Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.027269 0.029909 0.032522 0.035298 0.038156 0.041010 0.044069
2024-12-29 0.021859 0.026093 0.030403 0.035094 0.040029 0.045047 0.050515
2025-01-05 0.017935 0.023177 0.028651 0.034727 0.041225 0.047920 0.055300
2025-01-12 0.014786 0.020705 0.027040 0.034198 0.041960 0.050045 0.059033
2025-01-19 0.011640 0.017936 0.024864 0.032840 0.041609 0.050837 0.061181
2025-01-26 0.010379 0.017172 0.024795 0.033682 0.043539 0.053978 0.065735
2025-02-02 0.008842 0.015945 0.024102 0.033742 0.044533 0.056035 0.069054
2025-02-09 0.007004 0.014194 0.022699 0.032916 0.044474 0.056883 0.071004
2025-02-16 0.005959 0.013340 0.022281 0.033153 0.045547 0.058922 0.074197
2025-02-23 0.004876 0.012332 0.021616 0.033058 0.046205 0.060467 0.076816
2025-03-02 0.003831 0.011262 0.020816 0.032758 0.046593 0.061679 0.079038
2025-03-09 0.003031 0.010446 0.020281 0.032732 0.047261 0.063173 0.081540
2025-03-16 0.001856 0.008962 0.018955 0.031882 0.047141 0.063970 0.083487
2025-03-23 0.001089 0.007966 0.018236 0.031775 0.047910 0.065807 0.086641
2025-03-30 0.000454 0.006914 0.017362 0.031435 0.048380 0.067285 0.089378
2025-04-06 0.000048 0.005860 0.016396 0.030928 0.048613 0.068463 0.091750
2025-04-13 NaN 0.004497 0.014850 0.029621 0.047854 0.068478 0.092791
2025-04-20 NaN 0.004275 0.014981 0.030432 0.049592 0.071316 0.096964
2025-04-27 NaN 0.003724 0.014549 0.030489 0.050408 0.073082 0.099918
2025-05-04 NaN 0.002856 0.013499 0.029694 0.050170 0.073615 0.101467
2025-05-11 NaN 0.002484 0.013240 0.029922 0.051150 0.075534 0.104557
2025-05-18 NaN 0.002025 0.012760 0.029830 0.051724 0.076969 0.107085
2025-05-25 NaN 0.001545 0.012156 0.029542 0.052038 0.078088 0.109240